Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 22.472328 25.473723 28.749347 32.593259 36.985200 41.852223 47.662198
2025-02-02 18.446148 22.623325 27.573185 33.887492 41.752079 51.255737 63.657885
2025-02-09 15.361159 20.085689 26.073149 34.254856 45.202363 59.426584 79.442104
2025-02-16 12.786976 17.632893 24.127696 33.530194 46.896779 65.370102 93.102074
2025-02-23 10.923435 15.767560 22.580887 32.951278 48.494171 71.171823 107.220195
2025-03-02 9.522605 14.310259 21.337337 32.519842 50.090017 77.003798 122.056041
2025-03-09 8.504711 13.254350 20.500100 32.507571 52.206671 83.762153 139.171696
2025-03-16 7.645077 12.315573 19.695801 32.388561 54.055560 90.227556 156.627700
2025-03-23 7.182473 11.941857 19.720120 33.583177 58.172365 100.899729 182.800563
2025-03-30 6.594763 11.283689 19.185055 33.733605 60.460912 108.646156 204.777358
2025-04-06 5.935704 10.424262 18.201859 32.955161 60.945827 113.149242 221.220792
2025-04-13 5.406946 9.733092 17.430287 32.450857 61.839201 118.460410 239.926842
2025-04-20 5.142848 9.506577 17.494912 33.568161 66.082289 130.979472 275.720130
2025-04-27 4.953985 9.400432 17.772671 35.137975 71.451686 146.538938 320.674510
2025-05-04 4.649602 9.038736 17.521111 35.617913 74.649473 158.064834 358.734291
2025-05-11 4.247130 8.439948 16.737546 34.902352 75.207178 163.999537 384.959285
2025-05-18 3.902103 7.920074 16.055519 34.314391 75.956119 170.441384 413.463552
2025-05-25 3.607157 7.472487 15.473803 33.870573 76.962578 177.593995 444.931861
2025-06-01 3.379909 7.144023 15.107628 33.860445 78.966060 187.360546 484.775414
2025-06-08 3.164464 6.818838 14.713782 33.737290 80.678971 196.655981 525.017389
2025-06-15 3.073429 6.758115 14.895705 34.985135 85.915628 215.501342 594.853262
2025-06-22 2.908549 6.514202 14.638213 35.142411 88.425192 227.699037 648.137309
2025-06-29 2.691681 6.129613 14.017501 34.329629 88.314893 232.940413 682.003960